March Madness is here!

Sorry about the chessy bracket joke. Sorry about the cheesy chess pun. I’m excited to share this bracket. It’s just a few numbers that I could have printed in a table below. But, what fun is that? It’s much more fun if there’s some buttons you can click. And I had fun making it, too. Is this the world’s first clickable chess bracket?

On Wednesday, the knockout stage of the FIDE Grand Prix Leg 2 begins in Belgrade, and there are four players remaining: Giri will face Andreikin, and Rapport will take on Vachier-Lagrave. Giri is a 2-to-1 favorite over Andreikin, while Rapport and MVL are closely matched. Each pair will play two classical games and will switch sides each game. If they are tied after those classical games they go to two Rapid games, then two Blitz games, and finally an Armageddon.

All four players have eared seven Grand Prix Points, and they win three points for winning round one of the knockouts, and an additional three points for winning the tournament. You can also check out current odds for qualifying into the Candidate’s tournament.

The odds below are based on the live Elo ratings from 2700 Chess and a total of 100,000 simulations.

Belgrade Knockout Bracket

Anish Giri66.1%
Dmitry Andreikin33.9%
Richard Rapport47.8%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave52.2%
Anish Giri52.6%
Richard Rapport47.4%
Dmitry Andreikin37.7%
Richard Rapport62.3%
Anish Giri52.1%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave47.9%
Dmitry Andreikin34.6%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave65.4%